Manchester City v Burnley Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

Manchester City v Burnley match preview image

Saturday, January 26, 2019


City of Manchester Stadium

Punter's Pick

Given their current mood, expect goals from City despite Burnley’s new found confidence. City to win by two or three goals are both 7/2 with Bet365, whilst City to win and over 3.5 goals is 4/5 with Ladbrokes. If City start fast and blow away Burnley early, over 1.5 goals at half-time at 10/11 also with Ladbrokes is worth looking at.

Manchester City’s quest for a domestic treble resumes on Saturday, as they welcome fellow Premier League side Burnley to the Etihad, one of four top flight clashes this weekend.

Recent form strong for both teams

City have been in sparkling form in recent weeks, kickstarted by their key 2-1 victory over fellow title rivals Liverpool. Since then they have swept away all comers, including merciless defeats of Burton Albion in the Carabao Cup (9-0) and Rotherham in the third round of the FA Cup (7-0). Clearly they have found their feet again after shock back to back losses to Crystal Palace and Leicester City, making this a daunting trip for Burnley.

Burnley have shown increasing signs of being more like the Burnley of 2017/18, with a stubborn defence, organisational qualities and difficulty to play against all returning. A five match unbeaten league and cup run leading into this game at least gives them some confidence that they could get something from this tie.

Omens not good for Burnley

The Clarets have already made the trip to the Etihad Stadium the league back in October, and were totally outclassed in a 5-0 rout by the hosts, with former City favourite Joe Hart ironically enough starting for Burnley and helping keep the scoreline somewhat respectable. The standing ovation received by the former England goalkeeper was about as good as it got for Burnley that afternoon, with goals from Sergio Aguero, Bernardo Silva, Fernandinho, Riyad Mahrez and Leroy Sane consigning them to their heaviest defeat of the season. With City returning to the same level of fluidity and ruthlessness that stood out in their early season form, it is difficult to see how Burnley can escape with even a replay from this tie.

City vulnerable in low key cup ties?

If recent seasons are anything to go by, the one crumb on comfort Burnley may have is City actually do not have a great FA cup record in recent years for a club of their stature, particularly post the huge investment in the club. A 1-0 victory in the final of 2011 is the sum of their recent success, with a disappointing 2013 1-0 defeat against Wigan Athletic the last time they made it all the way to the final. The same lowly opponents also put paid to City’s hopes of a domestic treble last season, edging them out again 1-0. Middlesbrough’s surprise FA Cup win at the Etihad (2-0) in 2015 also gives some encouragement to Burnley that City are not as invincible in cup competition as they can often appear to be in the league.

Team news

With one eye on their midweek league fixture away to Newcastle United to follow this cup tie, Pep Guardiola will not be shy to shuffle his pack. Given the vast quality available to him, even bringing in fringe players such as Riyad Mahrez and youngsters like Phil Foden are unlikely to diminish their overall potency. However Guardiola would be wise to refer back to 2016 before he thinks about putting out too many youngsters against a PL side – City (then managed by Manuel Pellegrini) were routed 5-1 by Chelsea in the Fifth Round. David Faupala (now of Apollon Limassol) was City’s goalscorer, with all the starting XI that day having since been sold on or currently out on loan.

Burnley manager Sean Dyche will have some tricky decisions to make with his side still not safe in the relegation battle. This may necessitate resting several players for the following league match against Manchester United on Tuesday, with the likes of Nick Pope, Steven Defour and Matej Vydra being promoted from the bench to the starting XI.

Punter's Pick

Given their current mood, expect goals from City despite Burnley’s new found confidence. City to win by two or three goals are both 7/2 with Bet365, whilst City to win and over 3.5 goals is 4/5 with Ladbrokes. If City start fast and blow away Burnley early, over 1.5 goals at half-time at 10/11 also with Ladbrokes is worth looking at.

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