Manchester City v Watford [FA Cup Final] Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

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Manchester City v Watford

18th May 2019 – Wembley Stadium – 17.00

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In the betting markets City unsurprisingly start as heavy favourites. There is little value in backing an outright win but previous games have given insight into other markets that may provide more value. The corner count between these two has historically been high, with the collective total hitting 10 or more corners in each of their last four fixtures. We feel it is good value to back over 9 corners at 8/13 with Bet365 or a -5 handicap on City at 6/5. Over 10 corners is also very generous at evens and with City likely to dominate for long periods, their wingers and fullbacks are likely to rack up the corner count. Sergio Aguero is priced at 4/6 to score anytime and after his impressive season, the Argentine has always been the man for the big occasion and is likely to add to his tally in the final game of the season.

*Odds correct at time of publication.

FA CUP Final Betting Offers & Enhanced Odds

Manchester City face Watford in the FA Cup final, with City looking to complete an historic domestic treble at Wembley. No English team has managed this previously and having secured the Premier League and Carabao Cup, City will be confident of achieving the feat. However Watford have had an impressive campaign and Javi Gracia will be confident of spoiling the party and going one better than the team of 1984 who reached the final 35 years ago.

 

City will be in buoyant mood coming into this game having clinched the Premier League on the final day of the season. A 27th minute goal from Glenn Murray for Brighton barely threatened a shock result as Sergio Aguero hit back a minute later with further goals from Laporte, Mahrez and Gundogan helping secure the three points. This season was certainly a test of City’s mental strength given the challenge posed by Liverpool and their emotional Champions League exit at the hands of Tottenham. But Pep Guardiola managed to rally his troops and get them over the line in the Premier League and the team now start as favourites going into Saturday’s final.

 

Watford have had a very good season, surprising many with their play and consistency. The team was leading the race to be crowned ‘best of the rest’ as they maintained their position in 7th place for most of the campaign. However once the team made it into the FA Cup Final, it was predictable that some focus and intensity would slip as players were rested and some may have been fearful of injury and hence not 100% in every game. The team lost their final three games of the Premier League season and only won out of their last six, but this is the occasion many would have been waiting for and the team is capable of pressing City and causing an upset.

 

In team news, City will give a late fitness test to Fernandinho who has been out for the last few weeks with a knee injury. Reserve goalkeeper Claudio Bravo and Benjamin Mendy will both miss out and it will be interesting to see who Guardiola starts with in midfield and attack. Raheem Sterling is almost guaranteed to start with Kevin De Bruyne pushing for a place having started the last league game on the bench. The two Silva’s could form part of the midfield along with Gundogan if Fernandinho doesn’t recover from injury. Sergio Aguero is likely to lead the line as the Argentine looks to add to his 24 domestic goals this season.

 

Watford will be boosted by the news that Jose Holebas will be available for selection after successfully appealing against the red card he received against West Ham. However Domingos Quina and Sebastian Prodl remain out. Javi Gracia will need to make a call as to whether he starts with Troy Deeney up front on his own or actually goes all out by starting Andre Gray up alongside him.

 

Head to heads between these teams have been dominated by Manchester City with Watford fans having to go back to 1989 to find the last time their team beat their opponents. City won both Premier League fixtures earlier in the season, winning 3-1 at the Etihad and 2-1 away at Watford. Raheem Sterling scored a hattrick last time out and Watford will need to figure out a way of keeping the array of talent at City’s disposal quiet for 90 minutes.

 

 

In the betting markets City unsurprisingly start as heavy favourites. There is little value in backing an outright win but previous games have given insight into other markets that may provide more value. The corner count between these two has historically been high, with the collective total hitting 10 or more corners in each of their last four fixtures. We feel it is good value to back over 9 corners at 8/13 with Bet365 or a -5 handicap on City at 6/5. Over 10 corners is also very generous at evens and with City likely to dominate for long periods, their wingers and fullbacks are likely to rack up the corner count. Sergio Aguero is priced at 4/6 to score anytime and after his impressive season, the Argentine has always been the man for the big occasion and is likely to add to his tally in the final game of the season.

*Odds correct at time of publication.

 

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