Millwall v Everton Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

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FA Cup Millwall v Everton

Millwall logo Everton logo

Saturday, January 26, 2019


The Den

Punter's Pick

Millwall with a +1 handicap is available at 5/4 with Bet365, and could be a good value bet. Gylfi Sigurdsson has been in fine goalscoring form all season for Everton, and is 2/1 to score anytime with the same firm. Lee Gregory is Millwall’s top goalscorer this season and is 15/2 to open the scoring with Ladbrokes.

Eleventh placed in the Premier League Everton visit Championship strugglers in the Fourth Round of the FA Cup, but despite 28 league places separating the two teams, this promises to turn into a tricky afternoon for the PL club.

Millwall FA Cup pedigree

Despite being relegated from and not seen again in the top flight of English football since the 1989-90 season, Millwall have regularly enjoyed feasting on a host of top flight scalps down the years in the FA Cup. As recently as 2017 they dispatched PL sides Bournemouth, Watford and Leicester City before their dream run came to shuddering halt at the hands of London rivals Tottenham Hotspur (6-0). 2013 saw another near miss, as another charge to the final was eventually ended 1-0 in the semi-final by eventual winners Wigan Athletic. Their one and only appearance in the final came back in 2004, where they went down 3-0 to Manchester United.

Barren run for Toffees

In contrast to the exploits of their more modest rivals, five times winners Everton have not been seen in the final since a 2-1 defeat to Chelsea in 2009, and their last success came back further still in 1995, a 1-0 win in the final over a Manchester United side minus the suspended Eric Cantona. Recent seasons have seen third round exits against Leicester City and West Ham United sandwiched in-between a semi-final run halted by Manchester United. Fans will be hoping with Merseyside rivals Liverpool already eliminated, and one from Arsenal and Manchester United also guaranteed to be knocked out, another long run could just be opening up for them.

Inconsistent form adds to the intrigue

Millwall currently sit just six points above the relegation places in the Championship, with a defeat and a draw since beating Hull City to reach Round Four. Prior to that success, three successive league wins had helped lift them out of the relegation places and seemed to be a turning point for consistency and form, but only one point from their last six means there is still plenty of work to be done in the league.

Everton have rarely threatened to put together a consistent run this season, with their last five league games reading L, W, L, L and W, a clear indicator manager Marco Silva continues to struggle despite the talented squad at his disposal. A 2-1 defeat to Southampton on Saturday left them fourteen points behind sixth placed Manchester United, but probably more damning, eleven points outside of the the relegation zone. Barring a late push in the PL, the FA Cup represents their best chance of salvaging a disappointing season to date.

Can Millwall pull off another surprise?

Despite the relative gulf in class in playing personnel, there is no reason why Millwall, backed by a partisan home crowd can not go and get a result against their more illustrious rivals. Everton have rarely travelled well this season, and the Southampton performance showed that they do not necessarily have the stomach for fight against a team prepared to battle and scrap against them. A cold and dreary afternoon against a fired up lower league opponent would not be high on their wishlist, and they may look at a draw/replay as a relatively successful evening’s work.

Punter's Pick

Millwall with a +1 handicap is available at 5/4 with Bet365, and could be a good value bet. Gylfi Sigurdsson has been in fine goalscoring form all season for Everton, and is 2/1 to score anytime with the same firm. Lee Gregory is Millwall’s top goalscorer this season and is 15/2 to open the scoring with Ladbrokes.

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