Aston Villa v Burnley Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

Aston Villa v Burnley match preview image

Premier League Aston Villa v Burnley

Aston Villa logo Burnley logo

Saturday, September 28, 2019


Villa Park

Punter's Pick

Villa do not score many goals, particularly at home, and faced with a well drilled Burnley defence this should translate into a low scoring game – 2.5 goals and under is 10/11 with Bet365 and should be given serious consideration. Burnley to pinch all three points at 2/1 with Betfair also looks a good value proposition given the blunt nature of the home side’s attack.

Premier League new boys Aston Villa face another test of their credentials as they welcome a seasoned and battle hardened Burnley side to Villa Park in an intriguing clash.

Can Villa overcome naive defending to close out games?

Although Villa currently occupy the last of the three relegation places, that does not begin to tell the story on what on the whole has been a reasonable return adjusting to life back in the Premier League. The story of course could have been so much better, as twice they have thrown away winning positions in North London against both Spurs and Arsenal.

The defeat last weekend against the Gunners will have been a particular blow to Dean Smith’s team, as they could not convert a one goal lead and a one man advantage into a positive result. It again highlighted some naivety in the way Villa play, as evident by the unnecessary way they threw men forward despite being a goal up and with a numerical player advantage. Smith’s side will have to learn quickly, as they slowly but surely start to every inch look like a team destined for a fight to avoid relegation.

Burnley looking good for a top ten push

By contrast to Villa, a team like Burnley have an abundance of Premier League know how and experience, and it is extremely unlikely they would have surrendered a one goal and player advantage to Arsenal if they had been presented with a similar scenario. Sean Dyche’s team are increasingly resembling the side that so impressively finished 7th in the 2017/18 season and gained entry to Europe.

With a core of experienced players who know what it takes to consistently deliver in the Premier League week in week out, they are well placed again to push for a top ten finish, which would be another great achievement given the frugal nature of transfer funds that are usually made available to Sean Dyche each season.

Team News

Aston Villa boss Dean Smith made nine changes against Brighton in the Carabao Cup is likely to go back to a more familiar lineup, potentially giving the same starting XI against Arsenal a chance to redeem themselves. Henri Lansbury, Jonathan Kodjia and James Chester are all ruled out but Matt Targett could make his league debut after featuring in midweek.

Burnley could welcome back Icelandic midfielder Johann Berg Gudmundsson, who has recovered from a calf problem that has ruled him out for their last three league games. Key winger Dwight McNeil should be fit despite suffering a dead leg in the win against Norwich City.

Well drilled Burnley likely to frustrate Villa

With Villa struggling for goals since their return to the top flight, with just six in six games, a well drilled and organized Burnley side is one of the last sides they would want to face. Sean Dyche’s men are likely to frustrate Villa for long periods, and carry enough of a threat upfront to fancy their chances of nicking all three points in what is likely to be a low scoring affair.

Punter's Pick

Villa do not score many goals, particularly at home, and faced with a well drilled Burnley defence this should translate into a low scoring game – 2.5 goals and under is 10/11 with Bet365 and should be given serious consideration. Burnley to pinch all three points at 2/1 with Betfair also looks a good value proposition given the blunt nature of the home side’s attack.

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