Aston Villa v Liverpool Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

Aston Villa v Liverpool match preview image

Premier League Aston Villa v Liverpool

Aston Villa logo Liverpool logo

Saturday, November 2, 2019


Villa Park

Punter's Pick

Unsurprisingly Liverpool start this game as strong favourites and there is little value in backing an outright win. We feel that with both teams playing a high intensity pressing game and attacking on the flanks that the corners market represents the most value. Over 10 corners is currently priced at evens (1/1) with Bet365 and this has materialised in each of Aston Villa’s last four games. Liverpool tend to dominate the corner count themselves and we feel this price is extremely generous given the number of corners both teams have racked up in recent games.

Aston Villa welcome league leaders Liverpool to Villa Park in what should be an entertaining game between two teams in good form. Liverpool will be looking to maintain their six point gap at the top but a resurgent Aston Villa could spoil the party. Can the Villans produce a shock and blow the title race wide open?

Aston Villa come into this game having lost just one of their last six games in all competitions. An impressive 5-1 away win at Norwich has been the highlight of their season thus far and they followed that performance up with a 2-1 home victory against Brighton. The only blip recently was an expected 3-0 loss to champions Manchester City who they managed to keep out for the first half before conceding three in the second. But they overcame that setback to get through to the latter stages of the Carabao Cup having beaten Wolves 2-1 courtesy of goals from Anwar El Ghazi and Ahmed Elmohamady. Villa have shown great intensity to press teams and this has been most epitomised by talisman Jack Grealish which has helped them pick up seven points out of a possible 12 in their last four games. However there is only three points between them and the drop zone and manager Dean Smith will be keen for his team to continue pressing for points at home in order to avoid a relegation scrap.

Leaders Liverpool dropped their first points of the season in their 1-1 draw against rivals Manchester United. Adam Lallana secured a crucial point late on after Marcus Rashford’s strike looked on course to win United the game. Any thoughts of a hangover were extinguished as the Reds beat top four rivals Tottenham 2-1 in the next game despite going a goal down within the first minute. Manager Jurgen Klopp praised his players for not letting the setback affect them too much as they dominated the game and got their rewards through a Jordan Henderson goal and Mo Salah penalty. Maintaining and pressing with 68% possession against a team with such quality has shown the dominance of Liverpool in recent weeks but Aston Villa do represent a potential banana skin given their ability to match Liverpool’s energy in midfield.

In team news, both sides will be looking to make changes from the lineups that started their respective Carabao Cup games in midweek. Aston Villa will be looking to bring back Marvelous Nakamba and Wesley whereas Liverpool will look to reinstate the front three of Salah, Mane and Firmino. Midfielders Fabinho, James Milner, Jordan Henderson Gini Wijnaldum and Oxlade-Chamberlain will also be vying for starting berths.

These two teams have not met each other in almost three years with the sides last playing in 2016 when Liverpool thumped their opponents 6-0. Villa have to go back to 2014 when they last registered a league victory over the Reds via a Gabriel Agbonlahor goal. There have been no recent encounters that could give a more recent view on how this game could pan out.

Punter's Pick

Unsurprisingly Liverpool start this game as strong favourites and there is little value in backing an outright win. We feel that with both teams playing a high intensity pressing game and attacking on the flanks that the corners market represents the most value. Over 10 corners is currently priced at evens (1/1) with Bet365 and this has materialised in each of Aston Villa’s last four games. Liverpool tend to dominate the corner count themselves and we feel this price is extremely generous given the number of corners both teams have racked up in recent games.

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