Burnley vs Fulham Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

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The proverbial six-pointer takes place at Turf Moor this weekend, as Burnley and Fulham attempt desperately to deliver a win that would severely damage their opponent’s chances of survival in the top flight and in return boost their own.

Burnley FC vs Fulham

Premier League Sat, 12/01, 15:00 Stadium: Turf Moor

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Our view is that the over 2.5 goals market looks very generous, with Bet365 offering a generous 6/5 on this result. Given the teams shared 6 goals in their last meeting, this seems a good bet given the form of both teams.

*Odds correct at time of publication.

In Fulham’s case the situation grows increasingly desperate with each passing round of fixtures – with just one win in their last eight league games, they remain four points from safety. A defeat against Burnley would put them seven points behind their relegation rivals, a gap which may be too big to bridge based on current form.

The optimism surrounding the appointment of Italian veteran and Premier League winner Claudio Ranieri following a 3-2 victory in his first game in charge against Southampton has quickly given way to doom and gloom, with only one league win against lowly Huddersfield their only other victory under the Italian.

An embarrassing 2-1 home defeat in the FA Cup to Oldham Athletic on Saturday have only furthered concerns amongst fans with many feeling that this will just be a passing visit to the Premier League before returning to the reality of the Championship next season. For a club filled with much optimism after a significant outlay on new players in the summer, this seems almost unthinkable, and questions will surely be asked about player recruitment and general management of the club if the worst does happen.

Burnley have shown recent glimpses of finding their form, tenacity and grit that made them tough opponents last season. Back to back wins against Huddersfield and West Ham United have lifted them out of the relegation zone,  although prior losses including a 5-1 thumping at home to Everton was a stark reminder that they remain dangerously inconsistent and not completely out of the woods.

This fixture also pits together the two teams with the worst defences in the Premier League – Burnley have already shipped 42 goals this term, with their opponents proving even more generous in leaking 47 goals. The key question will be do Burnley have the firepower to exploit the visitor’s suspect defence? Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood with four goals apiece in all competitions are the club’s joint top scorers, and in theory should not strike fear into opposition teams. Fulham on the other hand have the enigmatic Aleksandar Mitrovic to call upon – with eight goals in the league this season they have a potent striker to deliver the wins they crave if they can get the right service to him, and somehow find a way to tighten up at the back.

Both teams are expected to make changes after contrasting FA Cup fortunes and previous league games. For Fulham, Callum Chambers is available for selection again after being ineligible against his parent club Arsenal in Fulham’s previous league game, whilst Mitrovic and Ryan Sessegnon are likely to be recalled to the starting XI after coming on from the bench for the calamitous FA Cup tie against Oldham Athletic.

Burnley are likely to make changes from their cup success at home to Barnsley, with regulars such as Ben Mee, Jack Cork, Ashley Barnes and Jeff Hendrick all likely to be recalled for this must win/must not lose encounter with their fellow strugglers.

Recent form for both teams suggests Burnley have a slight edge going into this fixture, and even though they are at home they are unlikely to over commit against Fulham, safe in the knowledge a draw would be a good result for them. The reverse fixture saw Fulham run out 4-2 winners, but Burnley at home are a different proposition and have improved their form since then.

Given the porous nature of both defences, a 0-0 draw is highly unlikely, with Fulham in particular possessing enough quality in the attacking third to trouble most teams, but the question remains whether they can keep opponents out long enough to give themselves a chance to climb out of the relegation places.

Our view is that the over 2.5 goals market looks very generous, with Bet365 offering a generous 6/5 on this result. Given the teams shared 6 goals in their last meeting, this seems a good bet given the form of both teams.

*Odds correct at time of publication.

 

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